Written by NCAA Football Expert Analyst Al Presto.
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The (3-2) SU, 1-4 ATS Michigan State Spartans lost last Saturday 29-19 to Northwestern as a double-digit home FAVORITE ATS. The Spartans offense produced 425 total yards but were ineffective on the other side allowing Northwestern quarterback Clayton Thorson 373 yards with three touchdowns through the air. Michigan State should have running back LJ Scott back after missing last week with a hamstring injury.
The OVER has cashed in for the betting public in six Michigan State last seven overall.
The OVER is 4-0 the previous four between the teams.
Michigan State is 4-1 SU/ATS the last five times the teams have met.
The (4-1) SU/ATS Penn State Nittany Lions had the week off after a tough loss on an ESPN Saturday Night showdown as a two-point home UNDERDOG ATS to Ohio State. Head Coach James Franklin believes the program is ready to become elite instead of a great program. Quarterback Trace McSorley is still one of the best in College Football with 1,049 yards passing, ten touchdowns with just two interceptions through five games. His dual-threat ability (400) yards rushing has allowed the Penn State offense to become as potent as Michigan State has seen to date.
The OVER is 7-1 the last eight between the teams.
Penn State is 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in October.
The POINT SPREAD Favorite is 6-1 ATS the last seven times they’ve played.
Penn State is 14-1-1 ATS their last 16 after gaining more than 200 yards rushing in the previous game.
Saturday’s game is at 3:30 PM EST at Beaver Stadium in State College, Pennsylvania. The Big Ten Television Network will be broadcasting.
The Opening Betting Line has Michigan State as a thirteen and a half point road UNDERDOG ATS. The TOTAL is fifty-three points for Saturday’s contest.
Michigan State loyalist had visions of a BCS Playoff berth in sight but an early-season loss at Arizona State followed by last weeks disaster ended that dream. However, head coach Mark Dantonio and his Spartans can salvage the season with an upset Saturday. The Spartans play host to the Michigan Wolverines and Ohio State Buckeyes in the next five weeks. Dantonio may have overemphasized throwing the football on offense despite having a talented quarterback like Brian Lewerke (1,328) passing yards. Michigan State has played their best football when they’ve established a rushing attack; 615 yards on the ground this season ranks 118th in the nation won’t get it done.
The Spartans defense is solid allowing opponents 117 total points which is 36th in Division 1, giving up an average of 4.9 yards per play. The unit has surrendered 1,695 total yards, 20th in the FBS. As Michigan State stops the run better than any front seven in College Football, they’ve given up 169 yards on 128 attempts, 1st in the country. It’s the secondary that’s been the Achilles heel this season, and they better be prepared Saturday.
Michigan State is 4-8 ATS their last 12 on the road.
The Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 NCAA Football games in October.
Bovada.Lv, list the Michigan State Spartans at +1,100 to win the 2018 Big 10 Conference Title.
The Penn State rushing attack produces 261.2 yards per game and average 7.1 yards each play through the air and on the ground. They’ve got an explosive unit that can score on any snap; 510 total yards per game putting 49.6 points per contest on the scoreboard. The betting public feels this game shouldn’t be close, but the Penn State coaching staff knows how talented the Spartans are. The Nittany Lions defense looked solid against Ohio State. However, those were in white out conditions with the crowd noise the loudest it’s been in years. A week off could hurt against a hungry Spartans team who can stop the run.
The Penn State defense has had some shaky performances this season beginning with the 2018 opener giving up thirty-six points to Appalachian State in an overtime win. Illinois put up twenty-four points on the Nittany Lions defense before they settled down in the final quarter.
Penn State is 13-3-1 ATS their last seventeen in Happy Valley.
The Nittany Lions are 15-6 ATS their last twenty-one vs. Big Ten opponents.
Bovada.Lv, list the Penn State Nittany Lions at +450 to win the 2018 Big Ten Conference East Division.
Free Pick. Michigan State+13 and a half points. Also Play Online Poker Plus Other Casino Games and enter some of the best Tournaments on the World Wide Web.