Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots 2018 Week 5 NFL Betting Preview for Thursday, October 4.

Written by Winning National Football League ATS Handicapper Greg Nelson.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. NFL Point Spread Predictions are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019.

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The (1-3) SU, 2-2 ATS Indianapolis Colts lost a 34-37 overtime heartbreaker as a one points ATS home favorite to AFC South division foe Houston last Sunday.

Fans at Lucas Oil Stadium seemed baffled with a missed fourth down attempt by first-year head coach Frank Reich with 30 seconds left in overtime which set up a long pass by Houston for the victory. You can’t blame Reich for putting it all on the table; we loved the risky decision. They’ll try to get back on track against a familiar opponent on the National stage.

Indianapolis has dropped seven in a row SU against New England with the OVER cashing in the previous eight between the teams.

The UNDER is 5-0 Indianapolis last five following an ATS loss with the UNDER also cashing in for the betting public the Colts last six on the road.
The (2-2) SU/ATS New England Patriots beat Miami at home to move into a first-place tie with a dominating performance as a 7 point ATS home favorite. New England came into the contest with question marks after losing two consecutive by double digits but responded with 38-7 to the relief of fans. Josh Gordon made his debut and in a limited role caught two passes for 32 yards.

The UNDER is 4-0 New England last four in October with the betting public cashing in on the UNDER the previous seven games they accumulated more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

The UNDER is 3-1 the Patriots first four weeks of 2018.

New England is has covered their last 7 ATS at home vs. A team with a losing record.

Kickoff will be Thursday, October 4, 2018. Game time is at 8:20 PM EST at Gillette Stadium in suburban Foxborough, Massachusetts. The FOX Television Network will be broadcasting.

The Betting Line has New England as a ten point home favorite against the point spread. The total is fifty-one points for Thursday’s contest.

Although the Colts lost last week, there was a positive being Andrew Luck passing for 464 passing yards and four touchdowns against zero interceptions, a first since missing all of last season.

The Colts offense could be without Center Ryan Kelly, Tight End Jack Doyle, Running Back Marlon Mack, and star wideout TY Hilton all are questionable.

The Indianapolis offense has scored 94 points through 4 weeks, 30th in the league. They’ve produced 1,348 total yards on 276 offensive snaps which rank next to last in the NFL.

Reich understands the issues on the offensive line which has plagued their production since Luck’s rookie season with many experts blaming the o-line for his injuries. However, they’ve been doing an efficient job blocking in the run game with as their 288 yards on the ground is 22nd league-wide.

The defense has given up 100 points through four games, and the confusing part was the majority at home against Cincinnati in the 2018 opener, and Houston last week. They did an adequate job on the road-holding Philadelphia to twenty points and Washington sixteen. Defensive Coordinator Matt Eberflus hopes his unit’s trend of playing lights out on the road last this week against the GOAT, if they can keep Brady in check, they can pull off the upset.

Bovada.Lv, list the 2018-19 Indianapolis Colts at +1,75 to win the 2018-19 AFC South Division.

A taste of home cooking is what the Patriots needed last week after they were in jeopardy of losing three in a row since 2001.

As usual, Belichick and Brady responded as only they are capable. Rookie running back Sony Michel showed fans what he’s capable of doing with 112 yards on the ground.

Tight End Rob Gronkowski exited last Sunday early with an ankle injury and is questionable Thursday on a short week. Michel along with James White will see plenty of action as Rex Burkhead is still on the IR.

The Patriots offense has run 255 plays for 1,349 yards of total offense which lead the league. New England ranks 10th in the NFL with 498 yards on the ground, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. They also top the entire NFL with 79 first downs and the 95 points scored on offense ranks second.

Since taking over for Matt Patricia current defensive coordinator, Brian Flores has seen his unit surrender 84 points, 5th league-wide.

They seem to be getting better each week, and with the injuries to the Colts offense, it could be a confidence booster for the group.

New England must come out and play the way they did Sunday; it’s important to impose their will early by establishing a run game.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +325 to win the 2018-19 AFC Championship.

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Winless Texans travel to Circle City for crucial AFC South matchup Sunday in Week 4 2018 Betting Preview.

 

Written by The Best National Football League Handicapper Bobby Wallace.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. NFL Weekly Expert Predictions are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019. 15-5 the first three weeks on NFL Betting Predictions, our Thursday-Sunday Football ATS Picks are second to none. The (0-3) SU/ATS Houston Texans are also 0-1 SU/ATS in the division with a 20-17 week two loss at Tennessee. As usual, a quarterback who had success in his rookie season is getting exposed as defensive coordinators have found Deshaun Watson weaknesses. It happened to Dak Prescott and many others but Texans head coach Bill O’Brien isn’t phased, however the team’s effort in last Sunday’s 27-22 home loss to the New York Giants is a call for concern. The UNDER is 9-0 the previous nine between the teams in Indianapolis and the Texans are 0-6 ATS their last six vs. AFC opponents. The (1-2) Indianapolis Colts have covered their last two ATS both against NFC East opponents Washington and Philadelphia. The UNDER has cashed in for the betting public eight consecutive times Indianapolis lost SU the previous week. Kickoff will be Sunday, September 30, 2018. Game time is at 1:00 PM EST at Lucas Oil Stadium in downtown Indianapolis, Indiana. The CBS Television Network will be broadcasting. The Betting Line has Houston as a one and a half point road underdog against the point spread. The betting odds total is forty-seven points for Sunday’s contest.

Houston lost to Indianapolis in the 2017 regular season finale on New Year’s Eve 22-13 at Lucas Oil Stadium with TJ Yates and Jacoby Brissett under center for their respective teams. It’ll be their prized 2017 first round draft pick, Watson, starting Sunday for the Texans but if they don’t eliminate the penalties, they’ll be 0-4. Houston is the third most penalized team in the league going into week four. They’ve run 195 offensive plays for 1,189 total yards which rank 20th in the NFL. Running Back, Lamar Miller leads the 14th ranked rushing attack with 174 yards on forty-four attempts. The Texans defense allows opponents 5.6 yards per play with 7.4 net yards coming through the air, 29th in the NFL. Houston has been an excellent fade for the betting public going winless ATS their last eight dating back to last season. The line started out at three and is moving in favor of Indianapolis and Houston is the better team. The road team is 5-1-2 ATS the last seven times the two division foes have met. Bovada.Lv, list the Houston Texans at +700 to win the 2018-19 AFC South Division.
The Indianapolis Colts return to their familiar surroundings after two impressive road games and the first this season vs. The AFC South. The UNDER has also cashed in for NFL bettors ten out of the previous times eleven the Colts have taken the field in the regular season. However, they didn’t have Andrew Luck under center at all in 2017, with the former top overall draft pick they went OVER in their week one home loss to Cincinnati. The Colts offense ranks 30th in the league with sixty points scored this season for a twenty point per game average. Indianapolis has run 193 plays for 870 through three weeks of football which is 31st league-wide and their 4.5 yards average per match is dead last in the NFL. The defense has surrendered 1.043 total yards with opponents 5.3 yards per play both statistics are good enough to be 30th. The defense has given up 725 yards through the air and 318 on the ground. Indianapolis must create some turnovers; you can bet they’ll be facing a hungry Houston Texans football team. Bovada.Lv, list the Indianapolis Colts also at +700 to win the 2018-19 AFC South Crown.

The Indianapolis Colts return to their familiar surroundings after two impressive road games and the first this season vs. The AFC South. The UNDER has also cashed in for NFL bettors ten out of the previous times eleven the Colts have taken the field in the regular season. However, they didn’t have Andrew Luck under center at all in 2017, with the former top overall draft pick they went OVER in their week one home loss to Cincinnati. The Colts offense ranks 30th in the league with sixty points scored this season for a twenty point per game average. Indianapolis has run 193 plays for 870 through three weeks of football which is 31st league-wide and their 4.5 yards average per match is dead last in the NFL. The defense has surrendered 1.043 total yards with opponents 5.3 yards per play both statistics are good enough to be 30th. The defense has given up 725 yards through the air and 318 on the ground. Indianapolis must create some turnovers; you can bet they’ll be facing a hungry Houston Texans football team. Bovada.Lv, list the Indianapolis Colts also at +700 to win the 2018-19 AFC South Crown.

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After a coaching change and a healthy Luck Colts, fans are excited.

Written by National Football League Expert Analyst Charlie Red McDougall.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football Betting. NFL ATS Weekly Picks are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019. Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay couldn’t blame Chuck Pagano for last season’s nightmare, but it had to fall on someone’s shoulder, and two years after former General Manager Ryan Grigson got fired Pagano should have seen the writing on the wall. Enter fifty-six-year-old Frank Reich who as an NFL quarterback once led the greatest comeback in playoff history. General Manager Chris Ballard hopes year two will turn out better than his first in the Circle City but also understands he can’t waste time playing in a division which features up upstarts Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Houston. Fans at Lucas Oil Field were seen leaving games early with dismal performances on both sides of the football in 2017.

Indianapolis ranked near the bottom of the NFL in virtually every category, their (284.6) yards of offense per contest ranked thirty-first overall but they addressed the offensive line woes by selecting Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson number-six overall, and Auburn’s Braden Smith early in round two. Both will become immediate starters to help a unit that gave up fifty-six sacks last season. Center Ryan Kelly who returns after missing a lot of 2017 with injuries and Tackle Anthony Castonzo are solid. Future Hall of Fame running back Frank Gore, brought in by Pagano was released making room for the talented second-year Marlon Mack who will have a breakout season. It doesn’t matter how much talent Indianapolis has if the spark plug that makes the engine runs is down, that would be quarterback Andrew Luck who missed all last season with a bad shoulder; with him, they are a playoff contender without it’ll be another nightmare season. Wide Receiver T. Y. Hilton was named to his fourth straight pro-bowl, he’s also Luck’s favorite target. Former Detroit Lions tight end Eric Ebron could pay huge dividends if he play’s up to his expectations. However the most intriguing player on the roster is former Virginia Commonwealth University basketball player Mo Alie-Cox, coaches think he’s the next Antonio Gates.

Unfortunately, Indianapolis was just as bad on the defensive side allowing a little over twenty-five points per game by opponents. They had trouble stopping both the pass and run; it’s a miracle they won as many football games as they did in 2017. First-year defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus most success came at the Collegiate level where he did a masterful job with the Missouri Tigers, but he’s grateful for getting a chance in the NFL. Reich displeasures for huge egos was demonstrated when he cut high priced free agent Johnathan Hankins in year one of a huge contract and allowed leading tackler Jon Bostic also to walk. Rookie Darius Leonard was selected early in round two, along with Kemoko Turay and former Ohio State standout Tyquan Lewis could be the best second round trio in the league. Defensive End Jabaal Sheard brings leadership which is sorely needed. Defensive backs Quincy Wilson, and Malik Hooker showed why they were drafted early in 2017 both have potential to be the star’s in the league. Indianapolis should up their win total to five games but it’all be a few years before they get to the playoffs.

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The coaching staff needs a healthy Deshaun Watson for Texans success in 2018-19.

Written by National Football League Expert Analyst Al Presto.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football Betting. NFL Weekly Betting Predictions are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019. After Four seasons into the Bill O’Brien era produced two division titles and three consecutive 9-7 finishes 2017 looked promising until their prized rookie quarterback went down with a season-ending knee injury resulting in a 4-12, last place in the AFC South. A total of thirteen starters were placed on injured reserve in O’Brien’s only losing season propelling Jacksonville, and Tennessee to playoff berths. The team is slowing taking the identity of their head coach as being mentally tough with constant effort in all phases each time they take the field. Owner Bob McNair hired Brian Gaine as General Manager in the off-season: he immediately went to work by signing nine free agents. Former GM Rick Smith took a leave of absence to take care of his ailing wife but will be back as their Executive vice president of football operations.

O’Brien is also serving as their offensive coordinator and loves to play smash mouth football by running the football down opponents throats. Houston rushed for (115.1) yards per contest last season, fourteenth league-wide. Halfback Lamar Miller led the attack with (888) yards rushing but O’Brien likes to run between the tackles, and bruiser D’Onta Foreman could supplant Miller as a starter. Signal Caller Deshaun Watson showed he was worthy of the number twelve overall draft pick in 2017, as their starter Houston’s offense average nearly thirty-five points per game. The offensive line got exposed after his injury prompting Gaine to add free agents Senio Kelemete, Zach Fulton along with tackle Seantrel Henderson teaming with former first-round pick center Nick Martin the only returning starter. All-Pro wideout DeAndre Hopkins (1,378) receiving yards with a team-high thirteen touchdowns is becoming a star. Will Fuller has the speed to stretch defenses while former Ohio State standout Braxton Miller can play multiple positions. The staff expects draft pick Keke Coutee to compete for a job in their rotation at wide receiver.

2009 first round draft pick and the franchises leading tackler Brian Cushing is gone, but longtime defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel, and J.J. Watt return to a twentieth ranked unit in 2017. Watt along with nose tackle D.J. Reader and Christian Covington were all casualties last season their presence will help tremendously both stopping the run and getting to opposing quarterbacks. Inside Linebacker Benardrick McKinney signed a massive deal in June, he along with second-year pro-Zach Cunningham should be a dynamic duo. On the outside where an underrated Whitney Mercilus is consistent and underpaid compared to Jadeveon Clowney who’s finally living up to his status as the number-one overall pick in 2014. Free Agents Aaron Colvin (slot cornerback), and safety  were the two most significant free agents acquisitions to help a pass defense which allowed (237.4.) yards per game through the air. Watt, Clowney, and Whitney Mercilus are proven pass rushers: they must take it to another level in 2018-19. Bovada.Lv, list the Houston Texans at 7/4 to win the 2018-19 AFC South division title.

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