Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots. NFL Playoff (AFC Divisional Round) Betting Preview for Sunday, January 13, 2019.

Written by National Football League Point Spread Analyst Greg Nelson.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. NFL Playoff Expert Betting Picks are comprised of our 500* Signature Selections. So make the smart decision and win alongside us, Enjoy the games!

The (13-4) SU, (10-7) ATS San Diego Chargers advanced with a 23-17 wildcard round victory over Baltimore as 2′ point ROAD UNDERDOGS ATS. Los Angeles continued their winning ways last Sunday, and they’ll be flying about three states North of Maryland this times, but it’s still a 10:00 AM PST start. The Chargers were benefices of four Michael Badgley field goals to take a 12-0 lead into the half before letting the Ravens back into the contest late.

  • Los Angeles is 9-1 ATS their previous ten on the road.
  • The Chargers are 0-4 AGAINST THE POINT SPREAD the last four between the teams.
  • The UNDER has cashed in Los Angeles last four playoff games.
  • UNDER bettors have made profits 5 of the last six times the teams have played.

The (11-5) SU, (9-7) ATS New England Patriots last played on December 30, 2018, taking down the New York Jets as 14′ point home FAVORITES ATS. As a result, the Patriots earned a first-round bye. Everyone knows how prolific New England is around this time of year and the BETTING public believes the Chargers a great play ATS. New England hasn’t lost a home game since October 2017.

  • New England is 3-1 ATS their last four at home.
  • The favorite is 4-1 AGAINST THE SPREAD the last five times the teams have played.
  • The UNDER is 4-0 New England last four at home.
  • OVER bettors have made profits in 8 of the Patriots last nine divisional playoff games.

Kickoff will be Sunday, January 13, 2019. Game time is at 1:05 PM EST at the Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The CBS Television Network will be broadcasting. The Betting Line has New England at 4 point home FAVORITES AGAINST THE POINT SPREAD. The TOTAL is 47 points for Sunday’s contest.

Los Angeles Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn watched his team give up two fourth-quarter touchdowns to a rookie quarterback last Sunday in Baltimore. It was the second time in three week’s they would face Raven’s signal caller Lamar Jackson.

Film study was instrumental in holding the rookie in check most of the game after a 22-10 loss to the same team on December 22nd. However, they know it’ll be a different outcome by allowing Brady equal opportunity. The Goat has gotten the best of the Chargers the last two meeting in the postseason including a 21-12 AFC Championship game loss in 2008. Phillip Rivers is undoubtedly a Hall of Famer and like he said after Sunday win Why not us which is an attitude of confidence.

Running Back Melvin Gordon has been in a walking cast due to a minor knee injury suffered in Baltimore. On the other side of the Football, the Chargers are much better than their 22nd NFL ranking. Pass Rushers Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa can take over a game anytime their own the field. Defensive coordinator Gus Bradley understands his unit must improve covering out of the backfield. They allowed opponents (973) yards.

Safety Derwin James will be asked to cover a lot of ground both against the run and pass; the former Florida State product is already a star and will be the X-Factor Sunday.

Bovada.Lv, list the Los Angeles Chargers at +1,800 to win the 2019 NFL Title.

 

Bill Belichick remembers the taste of defeat last year in Minneapolis as the Philadelphia Eagles took the Lombardi Trophy home. The quest is on to reclaim what fans in the Northeast believe is theirs. Snow is in the forecast Sunday which the Patriots welcome but also understand how much talent Los Angeles has on their roster.

New England is (12-2) SU in the postseason with weather condition below 32 degrees. The high powered Patriots offense will get tested by a defense that is better on the field than on paper, and the coaching staff knows this as a fact. They’ll have to dink and dunk to running back Sony Michel, James White, and Rex Burkhead. New England is a team that can never be counted out, especially in January and February.

Belichick is friends with University of Alabama head coach Nick Saban who’s Crimson Tide got destroyed in the 2019 BCS title game. This Sports Handicapper believes the long-standing dynasty in New England is on shaky ground.

The organization will pay down the road for trading backup quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to San Francisco; Sunday’s game will be the most anticipated as the Los Angeles Chargers have an excellent shot at dethroning the reigning AFC Champions.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +650 to win the 2019 Superbowl.

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New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears 2018 Week 7 National Football League Betting Preview for October 21st.

Written by Winning NFL ATS Handicapper Bobby Wallace.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. NFL Expert Point Spread Predictions are the best in the industry. We buried the board going 3-0 on Sunday, October 14, 2018, on 500* Signature Selections. So make the smart decision and win alongside us, Enjoy the games!
The (4-2) SU, 3-3 ATS New England Patriots, are rounding into what we thought they would be after two consecutive early season road loses as ATS favorites. New England beat Kansas City in a Monday Night thriller on October 14th but couldn’t cover as a 3 and a half point ATS home favorite. Rookie running back Sony Michel is making a strong statement for rookie of the year consideration as he rushed for 106 yards on twenty-four attempts with two touchdowns. The Patriots defense forced much talked about Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes into throwing two interceptions.

  • New England is 9-1 ATS their last ten on the road vs. Teams with a winning home record.
  • The UNDER has cashed in for the betting public 5 of the Patriots last six following a POINT SPREAD loss.
  • The Patriots are 14-5 ATS their last 19 road games.
  • OVER bettors have had a winning ticket in four of the previous five meetings between the teams.

The (3-2) SU/ATS Chicago Bears let a golden opportunity slip away last week in a 31-28 road loss to Miami as a 7 and a half point favorite ATS. Backup quarterback Brock Osweiler threw for 380 yards for Miami and didn’t know he would be the starter until a few hours before kickoff. Chicago went into the locker room down 7-0 at halftime before the South Florida humidity took its toll on both defenses. The teams combined for 52 second-half points and the Bears had a chance for the win, but kicker Cody Parkey missed a field goal.

  • Chicago is 1-4 ATS their last five games in Week 7.
  • The Bears have gone OVER three times this season while staying UNDER twice.
  • The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five times they’ve played.
  • Chicago is 6-0-1 ATS their last seven at home vs. teams with a winning road record.

Kickoff will be Sunday, October 21, 2018. Game time is at 1:00 PM EST at Soldier Field near Lake Michigan on the South Side of Chicago, Illinois. The CBS Television Network will be broadcasting.

The Betting Line has Chicago three-point home UNDERDOG ATS. The TOTAL is forty-nine and a half points for Sunday’s contest.

 

As usual, the New England Patriots are back in form, but that’s how Bill Belichick wants it to be. The hoodie is done experimenting with players and has a good idea of his lineup the rest of the season. After handing the Kansas City Chiefs their first loss of the season Belichick and future hall of fame quarterback Tom Brady are ready to defend the AFC title.

The “GOAT” leads a unit that ranks 1st in the NFL in total offense with 2,287 total yards. Ft. Lauderdale Florida natives James White along with rookie Michel lead the 10th ranked rushing attack with 738 yards on the ground. They’ve scored 176 points through six games which are second in the National Football League.

Although former defensive coordinator Matt Patricia is now the head coach in Detroit, they’re still stable allowing opponents to score 148 points, 5th league-wide. They’ve allowed opposing offenses 2,276 total yards, which is 29th in the NFL. The unit surrenders 5.9 yards per play with the pass defense 6.7 yards per pass attempt.

After losing their only two road games played in the 2018 season, you’ll see a different mindset from the Patriots and the betting public will have plenty of action on this contest.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +245 to win the 2018-19 AFC Championship.

First-year head coach Matt Nagy looks like a veteran on the sidelines and has made all the right decisions. The Bears sit at the top of the NFC North division with four of their next five in the Windy City. Weather conditions like they played in last Sunday will not be a factor the rest of the season, but Sunday’s opponent knows how to win.

Second-year signal caller Mitchell Trubisky had another solid effort, with 316 passing yards, three touchdowns last Sunday in the Sunshine State. The Bears offense isn’t on the level of the Patriots yet; they’ve scored 139 points which is 29th in the NFL. Running Backs Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen lead the league’s 16th ranked rushing attack. Cohen who played at an HBS institute is turning head around the NFL this season with his ability to take it the distance anytime he touches the football.

The signing of All-Pro Khalil Mack was a statement to the NFC North division, and he’s paying immediate dividends; the former Raider is nursing a sore ankle but will be ready to get a steady pass rush on Brady. The Bears have allowed 96 points which is ninth in the league. They’ve surrendered 1,719 total yards to the opposition which is 10th in the NFL, but they’ll have their work cut out against the prolific Patriots offense.

Chicago must apply constant pressure to Brady and they have the personnel to get it done with speedy linebackers Roquan Smith and Leonard Floyd assisting Mack.

Bovada.Lv, list the Chicago Bears at +250 to win the 2018-19 NFC North Crown.

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Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots 2018 Week 5 NFL Betting Preview for Thursday, October 4.

Written by Winning National Football League ATS Handicapper Greg Nelson.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. NFL Point Spread Predictions are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019.

The 2018-19 season is making HUGE PROFITS, and Charliessports.com will continue to expose SOFT LINES in the NFL. 26-9 the first four weeks on NFL Expert Predictions, our Thursday-Sunday Football Betting Picks are second to none.

The (1-3) SU, 2-2 ATS Indianapolis Colts lost a 34-37 overtime heartbreaker as a one points ATS home favorite to AFC South division foe Houston last Sunday.

Fans at Lucas Oil Stadium seemed baffled with a missed fourth down attempt by first-year head coach Frank Reich with 30 seconds left in overtime which set up a long pass by Houston for the victory. You can’t blame Reich for putting it all on the table; we loved the risky decision. They’ll try to get back on track against a familiar opponent on the National stage.

Indianapolis has dropped seven in a row SU against New England with the OVER cashing in the previous eight between the teams.

The UNDER is 5-0 Indianapolis last five following an ATS loss with the UNDER also cashing in for the betting public the Colts last six on the road.
The (2-2) SU/ATS New England Patriots beat Miami at home to move into a first-place tie with a dominating performance as a 7 point ATS home favorite. New England came into the contest with question marks after losing two consecutive by double digits but responded with 38-7 to the relief of fans. Josh Gordon made his debut and in a limited role caught two passes for 32 yards.

The UNDER is 4-0 New England last four in October with the betting public cashing in on the UNDER the previous seven games they accumulated more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

The UNDER is 3-1 the Patriots first four weeks of 2018.

New England is has covered their last 7 ATS at home vs. A team with a losing record.

Kickoff will be Thursday, October 4, 2018. Game time is at 8:20 PM EST at Gillette Stadium in suburban Foxborough, Massachusetts. The FOX Television Network will be broadcasting.

The Betting Line has New England as a ten point home favorite against the point spread. The total is fifty-one points for Thursday’s contest.

Although the Colts lost last week, there was a positive being Andrew Luck passing for 464 passing yards and four touchdowns against zero interceptions, a first since missing all of last season.

The Colts offense could be without Center Ryan Kelly, Tight End Jack Doyle, Running Back Marlon Mack, and star wideout TY Hilton all are questionable.

The Indianapolis offense has scored 94 points through 4 weeks, 30th in the league. They’ve produced 1,348 total yards on 276 offensive snaps which rank next to last in the NFL.

Reich understands the issues on the offensive line which has plagued their production since Luck’s rookie season with many experts blaming the o-line for his injuries. However, they’ve been doing an efficient job blocking in the run game with as their 288 yards on the ground is 22nd league-wide.

The defense has given up 100 points through four games, and the confusing part was the majority at home against Cincinnati in the 2018 opener, and Houston last week. They did an adequate job on the road-holding Philadelphia to twenty points and Washington sixteen. Defensive Coordinator Matt Eberflus hopes his unit’s trend of playing lights out on the road last this week against the GOAT, if they can keep Brady in check, they can pull off the upset.

Bovada.Lv, list the 2018-19 Indianapolis Colts at +1,75 to win the 2018-19 AFC South Division.

A taste of home cooking is what the Patriots needed last week after they were in jeopardy of losing three in a row since 2001.

As usual, Belichick and Brady responded as only they are capable. Rookie running back Sony Michel showed fans what he’s capable of doing with 112 yards on the ground.

Tight End Rob Gronkowski exited last Sunday early with an ankle injury and is questionable Thursday on a short week. Michel along with James White will see plenty of action as Rex Burkhead is still on the IR.

The Patriots offense has run 255 plays for 1,349 yards of total offense which lead the league. New England ranks 10th in the NFL with 498 yards on the ground, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. They also top the entire NFL with 79 first downs and the 95 points scored on offense ranks second.

Since taking over for Matt Patricia current defensive coordinator, Brian Flores has seen his unit surrender 84 points, 5th league-wide.

They seem to be getting better each week, and with the injuries to the Colts offense, it could be a confidence booster for the group.

New England must come out and play the way they did Sunday; it’s important to impose their will early by establishing a run game.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +325 to win the 2018-19 AFC Championship.

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Can the Dolphins tip the AFC East balance of power against the Patriots?

In 1978 the NFL increased its regular season schedule from 14 to 16 games per team. In 2002, the league realigned to form four divisions per conference, four teams per division. While 24-years apart, the two events combined to effect a permanent change on the league.

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Divisional rivalries were reduced, exerting lesser influence on the season. Whereas GMs once drafted and coaches schemed to beat their rivals, they now had to take the entire league into account. Other influences contributed, such as increased player movement and domed stadiums in cities with extreme weather, but the net effect was a homogenized league. One team’s success was copied by 31 others. The respectively unique characteristics of the NFC Central and AFC West disappeared.

Jim Kiick, Larry Csonka and Mercury Morris defined the AFC East in the early 70s

Jim Kiick, Larry Csonka and Mercury Morris defined the AFC East in the early 70s.

Happily, memory carries the day. Rivalries survive on an emotional level. It’s why realignment left Dallas in the NFC East with Washington, Philadelphia and New York. This week, however, the renewed AFC East rivalry between the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots has far more meaning than simple bragging rights.

The vaunted Patriots have been to eight Super Bowls and 12 AFC Championships since 2001. Their first Super Bowl appearance, in 1985, came the year after the Dolphins last made an appearance. They won that AFC Championship matchup against Miami. In the interim, the Fins reached a championship game just once more, losing to another AFC rival, Buffalo, in 1992.

Since the Bills ended their futile four-year Super Bowl run, the AFC East belonged to the Patriots. This season, perhaps this weekend, that could end. Tom Brady and the defending AFC champions are 1-2 on the young season. The Dolphins are undefeated. The teams meet in Foxboro in an early Sunday game that could change how we’ve perceived the division for two decades.

With a win, the Dolphins move to 4-0 SU and bury the Patriots in a 1-3 SU hole that makes even a playoff appearance a long shot. Not only would a Miami victory put serious pressure on the Patriots, it’d give Adam Gase’s squad every reason to believe it can contend for a Super Bowl this year. That’s a major power shift.

Can the Dolphins go into Foxboro and come away with the W? New England’s lone win this season came at home. Despite their poor start, the Pats are 6.5 point favourites ATS. So, the experts aren’t backing them.

No one believes the Dolphins can go to New England and force Tom Brady to cough up AFC East supremacy.

No one believes the Dolphins can go to New England and force Tom Brady to cough up AFC East supremacy.

Recent trends suggest the Dolphins will at least put up a fight. They’re on a 5-0 run with the OVER against losing teams and 5-1 ATS in their last six after holding an opponent to less than 90 yards rushing. The Dolphins run defence didn’t look too convincing against the Raiders last week but Jon Gruden’s side focussed too heavily on the passing game, allowing Miami to roar back from a first-half deficit to take control in a 28-20 SU win.

On the other hand, the Pats tend to respond after defeats. They’re on a 4-1 string with the OVER against winning teams. Bill Belichick’s side is also 5-1 ATS in their last six after a loss while the Dolphins are running 0-6 ATS in New England. The home team’s 11-1 ATS in the last twelve meetings between New England and Miami, the favourite 8-3.

Everything points to the Pats pulling their fat from the fire. I hate it when everything or everyone points to a certain outcome. Is Hillary Clinton President? Is a 25-point lead in the Super Bowl insurmountable? Did La La Land win the Oscar? Okay, so the last one’s a little silly. You get the point. I’m backing the Dolphins.

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Martin Palazzotto is a freelance writer and author of strange bOUnce, a collection of sport fiction.

 

Did Eagles expose Belichick and Brady, will Patriots bounce back in 2018-19?

Written by National Football League Expert Analyst Greg Nelson.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. Winning NFL Predictions are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019. No matter what anyone thinks or has heard on ESPN, magazine publications and anywhere else the New England Patriots will be the team to beat in the American Football Conference this season. Head Coach Bill Belichick is a master at rectifying turmoil which exists surrounding his football team which season ended in a 41-33 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LII. Belichick enters his nineteenth season on the sideline in Foxborough, Massachusetts with expectations set at a premium in 2018-19 as they look to become the third team in NFL History with three consecutive Super Bowl appearances. Owner Robert Kraft has handed over the keys to the kingdom to Belichick and future Hall of Fame signal-caller Tom Brady this season which from all indications could be their last together.

The New England Patriots offense led the NFL with (394.2) total yards per contest, their (276.1) yards through the air and (28.6) ppg ranked second in the league. Forty-one-year-old future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady also returns for his nineteenth season, all with New England; his drive this season will be greater than ever. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has a new weapon in his arsenal as speedster Cordarrelle Patterson comes over from Minnesota to take the place of the disappointing Brandin Cooks. Wide Receiver Julian Edelman is back after an ACL injury, and all of the rumors about the retirement of Rob Gronkowski were put to bed in the offseason. 2018 draft picks Sony Michel is a Belichick kind of football player, he along with his Georgia teammate, offensive tackle Isaiah Wynn should fit perfectly. Despite being the most prolific offenses in the NFL last season New England went over the total just seven times in the regular season, but bettors should still go all in on overs early in the season with the Patriots.

From all indications, New England will not have a defensive coordinator by a label this season, but linebackers coach Brian Flores seems to be the fit to replace Matt Patricia whos now the head coach of the Detroit Lions. Whoever takes over they have work on a unit which ranked twenty-ninth in the league giving up (366.0) yards per game, to their credit a lot of yards come in garbage time when New England took commanding leads. Still, the forty-one points given up to Philadelphia in their Super bowl defeat must be addressed. Linebacker Donta Hightower is healthy again after missing most of the 2017-18 season, and he’ll provide a pass rush off the edge. Defensive end Trey Flowers had a team-high six and a half sacks last year, and the addition of tackle Danny Shelton should provide a push in the middle. The New England secondary got accused of not having enough athleticism their previous season; they’ve added Jason McCourty, brother of Devin to play alongside Stephon Gilmore at cornerback. Safety Patrick Chung could get replaced by rookie Duke Dawson who coaches believe has a bright future. Without Patricia, they’ll struggle early in the season however in true New England fashion it’ll iron itself out by the six or seventh game. Bovada.Lv, list the Pittsburgh Steelers at +400 to win Super Bowl LIII.

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