New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears 2018 Week 7 National Football League Betting Preview for October 21st.

Written by Winning NFL ATS Handicapper Bobby Wallace.

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The (4-2) SU, 3-3 ATS New England Patriots, are rounding into what we thought they would be after two consecutive early season road loses as ATS favorites. New England beat Kansas City in a Monday Night thriller on October 14th but couldn’t cover as a 3 and a half point ATS home favorite. Rookie running back Sony Michel is making a strong statement for rookie of the year consideration as he rushed for 106 yards on twenty-four attempts with two touchdowns. The Patriots defense forced much talked about Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes into throwing two interceptions.

  • New England is 9-1 ATS their last ten on the road vs. Teams with a winning home record.
  • The UNDER has cashed in for the betting public 5 of the Patriots last six following a POINT SPREAD loss.
  • The Patriots are 14-5 ATS their last 19 road games.
  • OVER bettors have had a winning ticket in four of the previous five meetings between the teams.

The (3-2) SU/ATS Chicago Bears let a golden opportunity slip away last week in a 31-28 road loss to Miami as a 7 and a half point favorite ATS. Backup quarterback Brock Osweiler threw for 380 yards for Miami and didn’t know he would be the starter until a few hours before kickoff. Chicago went into the locker room down 7-0 at halftime before the South Florida humidity took its toll on both defenses. The teams combined for 52 second-half points and the Bears had a chance for the win, but kicker Cody Parkey missed a field goal.

  • Chicago is 1-4 ATS their last five games in Week 7.
  • The Bears have gone OVER three times this season while staying UNDER twice.
  • The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five times they’ve played.
  • Chicago is 6-0-1 ATS their last seven at home vs. teams with a winning road record.

Kickoff will be Sunday, October 21, 2018. Game time is at 1:00 PM EST at Soldier Field near Lake Michigan on the South Side of Chicago, Illinois. The CBS Television Network will be broadcasting.

The Betting Line has Chicago three-point home UNDERDOG ATS. The TOTAL is forty-nine and a half points for Sunday’s contest.

 

As usual, the New England Patriots are back in form, but that’s how Bill Belichick wants it to be. The hoodie is done experimenting with players and has a good idea of his lineup the rest of the season. After handing the Kansas City Chiefs their first loss of the season Belichick and future hall of fame quarterback Tom Brady are ready to defend the AFC title.

The “GOAT” leads a unit that ranks 1st in the NFL in total offense with 2,287 total yards. Ft. Lauderdale Florida natives James White along with rookie Michel lead the 10th ranked rushing attack with 738 yards on the ground. They’ve scored 176 points through six games which are second in the National Football League.

Although former defensive coordinator Matt Patricia is now the head coach in Detroit, they’re still stable allowing opponents to score 148 points, 5th league-wide. They’ve allowed opposing offenses 2,276 total yards, which is 29th in the NFL. The unit surrenders 5.9 yards per play with the pass defense 6.7 yards per pass attempt.

After losing their only two road games played in the 2018 season, you’ll see a different mindset from the Patriots and the betting public will have plenty of action on this contest.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +245 to win the 2018-19 AFC Championship.

First-year head coach Matt Nagy looks like a veteran on the sidelines and has made all the right decisions. The Bears sit at the top of the NFC North division with four of their next five in the Windy City. Weather conditions like they played in last Sunday will not be a factor the rest of the season, but Sunday’s opponent knows how to win.

Second-year signal caller Mitchell Trubisky had another solid effort, with 316 passing yards, three touchdowns last Sunday in the Sunshine State. The Bears offense isn’t on the level of the Patriots yet; they’ve scored 139 points which is 29th in the NFL. Running Backs Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen lead the league’s 16th ranked rushing attack. Cohen who played at an HBS institute is turning head around the NFL this season with his ability to take it the distance anytime he touches the football.

The signing of All-Pro Khalil Mack was a statement to the NFC North division, and he’s paying immediate dividends; the former Raider is nursing a sore ankle but will be ready to get a steady pass rush on Brady. The Bears have allowed 96 points which is ninth in the league. They’ve surrendered 1,719 total yards to the opposition which is 10th in the NFL, but they’ll have their work cut out against the prolific Patriots offense.

Chicago must apply constant pressure to Brady and they have the personnel to get it done with speedy linebackers Roquan Smith and Leonard Floyd assisting Mack.

Bovada.Lv, list the Chicago Bears at +250 to win the 2018-19 NFC North Crown.

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Are the Monsters of the Midway back or can the Fins flip the script again?

Some people call it riding the hot hand. Others say it’s jumping on the bandwagon. Either way, the Miami Dolphins are yesterday’s news while the Chicago Bears trend viral like Captain Trips. The two teams meet Sunday at whatever they’re calling the former Joe Robbie Stadium this week.

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Sixty per cent of the betting public back da Bears following their spectacular 48-10 route of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Soldier Field. Quarterback Mitch Trubisky, whose surname still almost rhymes with ‘who is he?’ threw for 354 yards and six touchdowns while completing 19/26 passes. He also ran for another 53 yards, accounting for 92.5% of Chicago’s offensive output. Head coach and former arena football QB Matt Nagy’s offensive scheme receives the most credit for the Monsters of the Midway’s revival. It seems apropos with Michael Myers return to the screen at month’s end in the Hallowe’en reboot.

Mitch Trubisky and Matt Nagy get their signals straight

Mitch Trubisky and Matt Nagy get their signals straight.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins are experiencing Donald Trump-like support numbers after two consecutive losses. Their uninspiring trip to Foxborough, where the Patriots handed them their helmets, was unsucceeded by a stunning capitulation in Cincinnati despite leading by 14 at the half. Once again, Miami are pretenders in most fans’ eyes.

The experts aren’t so convinced. They’re leaning slightly towards Adam Gase’s squad to win this one at home, where they’re undefeated on the young season, despite the line holding steadily at +3.5 for the past two days. Nor can handicappers make up their minds regarding the total [41.5], which at least tells you they don’t expect Trubisky and his receivers to run riot on the road against the stellar Miami secondary.

That doesn’t mean the Bears won’t be a handful for the Dolphins defence. Nagy’s system is a fluid attack designed to exploit the soft spots in a defence on a play-by-play basis, using pre-snap motion to force opponents into tipping their hand. If a team is loading up against the run, they’ll go wide or over the top. If it’s spread, they’ll exploit the gaps.

Gase isn’t overmatched as a strategist. You don’t jump out to big half-time leads as the Dolphins did against Cincinnati or roar back from behind like they did against the Raiders without decent schemes. The problems are consistent execution and game management. Ryan Tannehill shouldn’t be throwing interceptions with a big lead. He should barely be throwing at all. Pound the ball; eat the clock.

Adam Gase searches for a way to make Ryan Tannehill understand why interceptions are bad

Adam Gase searches for a way to make Ryan Tannehill understand why interceptions are bad.

Historically, the teams tend to trade wins. The Bears last won back-to-back against Miami in 1994 and ’97. The Dolphins haven’t done it since 1979 and ’85, the second game being the one where Dan Marino ended Mike Ditka’s run at a perfect season. The Dolphins came away 27-14 winners in 2014’s last meeting between the pair.

More recently, Miami are 1-4 against the spread versus winning teams while Chicago’s taken the under in their last four after winning by at least two touchdowns. The Dolphins have also gone under in their last four against winning teams. You have to pit those trends against the team’s mood after two embarrassing defeats away from home and their determination to keep their season above water.

 

Free Pick: Miami +3.5
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Martin Palazzotto is a freelance writer and author of strange bOUnce, a collection of sport fiction.

 

Seahawks visit Windy City for an NFC showdown.

Written by National Football League Betting Analyst Al Presto.

Charliessports.com produces it for Football News. Top NFL ATS Picks are the best in the industry and will continue through the Super Bowl in February of 2019. After crushing the board Sunday in the NFL winning all three of our point spread highly rated plays, it’s time to prove ourselves all over again. The (0-1) Seattle Seahawks got a push against the spread in their opening week 27-24 loss in Denver as an underdog. Seattle hasn’t played at home this season but head coach Pete Carroll is as confident as ever his Seahawks are the team to beat in the NFC West. The Los Angeles Rams have something to say about it after beginning the season with two victories. Fans in Chicago watched their Bears lose opening week in Green Bay a game which they led 17-0 at the break, only to allow Green Bay 21 fourth-quarter points in a 24-23 loss. The Bears did cover the point spread, and both teams went over the total in their respective openers. Monday Night’s kickoff will be 8:15 PM EST at historic Soldier Field near Navy Pier in Chicago, Illinois. The ESPN Television Network will be broadcasting. The Betting Line has Seattle as a four-point road underdog against the point spread. The betting odds total is forty-two points for Monday’s contest.

The month of September hasn’t been good for Seattle bettors, they’re just 0-3-1 ATS their last four, but they’ve covered three straight vs. Chicago dating back to 2011. Quarterback Russell Wilson passed for 298 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions last week in the Mile High City. As usual, it wasn’t a good day rushing the football for Seattle, producing just sixty-four yards on twelve attempts. It’s been the same story; the offensive line gave up six sack to the Broncos. Making matter worse wideout Doug Baldwin will miss tonight’s game with a knee injury suffered in the opener which means Tyler Lockett must prove his worth. The Seahawks defense intercepted Broncos quarterback three times, but they allowed 146 yards on the ground. Defensive lineman Frank Clark can become a star. Seattle will probably be without linebacker K.J. Wright and their vocal leader Bobby Wagner didn’t practice all week is a cause for concern. The Seahawks 0-4 ATS their last four in week two of the season, and the over has cashed in the last six between the teams at Soldier Field. Bovada.Lv, list the Seattle Seahawks at 12/1 to win the 2018-19 NFC West Division Championship.

After signing Khalil Mack head coach, Mike Nagy watched for the former defensive player of the year pay immediate dividends with a strip sack for a touchdown at Green Bay. However, Nagy’s inexperience as a head coach showed it’s ugly head as he played not to lose which you can’t do with Aaron Rodgers on the other side; lesson learned. Chicago has been just as bad for ATS bettors in the second week of the season with a 1-7 record to the Las Vegas number their last eight with the under coming in their last four following a point spread win. Second-year signal caller Chicago Bears Mitchell Trubisky threw for 171 yards without a turnover which was a plus in the gut check defeat. Running Back, Jordan Howard ran for eight two yards on fifteen carries and should be able to have another stellar performance tonight. Rookie linebacker Roquan Smith got his first taste of NFL action after a lengthy holdout and should feel more comfortable against Seattle. The Bears coaching staff must play fearless football. Bovada.Lv, list the Chicago Bears at 5/1 to win the 2018-19 NFC North Division Title.

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