Falcons v Redskins: A not-so irresistible force meets a fairly immovable object

Falcons v Redskins: A not-so irresistible force meets a fairly immovable object

Two teams with short winning streaks meet in the 2018 NFL campaign’s ninth week. The Atlanta Falcons [3-4] visit FedEx Field in the nation’s capital to take on the NFC East-leading Washington Redskins [5-2]. The pressure is on the Falcons to not allow their season to slip away and the ‘Skins to consolidate their position and prove they’re a cut above the Dallas Cowboys and defending Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles.

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Washington head coach Jay Gruden resembles the fella on Antique Roadshow who discovers he’s picked up a long-lost Vincent van Gogh masterpiece at the flea market. Both quarterback Alex Smith and tailback Adrian Peterson are castoffs that other coaches no longer wanted. Andy Reid let the 34-year-old Smith go for a song to hand his offence over to young gun Patrick Mahomes. Smith has responded with a steadfast 1561 yards passing, eight touchdowns and just two interceptions. Peterson, 33, played for both New Orleans and Arizona last season. In ten games combined, he rushed for 529 yards and two TDs. He already has 587 and four this term.

Atlanta coach Dan Quinn, two years removed from an epic Super Bowl collapse is retooling on the fly. Tevin Coleman is now the main ball carrier and Steve Sarkisian is calling the plays in his second year, from the sideline no less. Matt Ryan can still sling it. The Boston College product, now in his 11th season with the Falcons, has put up 2,335 yards passing with 15 TDs and two INTs.

Quinn’s woes stem mainly from the defence, specifically the secondary. Of the last 10 offensive TDs scored against the Dirty Birds, eight were passes. It’s not that the defensive backs are being stretched, either. Seven came from inside the red zone. They just can’t cover anyone.

Atlanta is relatively healthy. RB Devonta Freeman remains on the IR with a groin problem. Kicker Matt Bryant is questionable for the game with a hamstring problem. Emergency replacement Giorgio Tavecchio was perfect against Philadelphia last week, with two extra points and three field goals, one for 56 yards.

Washington isn’t so lucky. Three starters and as many second-stringers are listed as questionable for the game. Wideout Jamison Crowder, left tackle Trent Williams and right cornerback Quinton Dunbar comprise the first group, RB Chris Thompson, left corner Adonis Alexander and weakside linebacker Ryan Anderson the other.

The LINE favours the Redskins by 1.5 points in this one. The TOTAL is 47.5. Something has to give there. Sarkisian’s offence racked up 30 points or more in four of their last six but went nine points UNDER against another NFC East opponent, the New York Giants, last week. Washington hasn’t conceded 20 points in their last three. They did surrender 43 to New Orleans before the streak began.

Atlanta is OVER in their last four after failing to cover but they’re UNDER in six of their last seven following a STRAIGHT UP win. The ‘Skins are UNDER in their last four after surrendering more than 250 yards in the air and their last five against losing teams. They’re also 5-0 AGAINST THE SPREAD vs teams with a losing road record, but that’s countered by the road team in this series sitting 5-1 ATS entering this tilt.

There’s a strong case for the UNDER in this one. Washington’s a top defence at home and Atlanta stalled in their last outing, rescued by a journeyman placekicker. On the other hand, the teams have alternated between OVER and UNDER in the last six and it’s OVER’s turn.

In the end, I think it’s simple. Atlanta can score and still lose. Washington doesn’t score much but consistently wins. Take the Redskins and give the points.

Free Pick: WASHINGTON -1.5
2018-19 NFL ATS Betting Predictions
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Martin Palazzotto is a freelance writer and author of strange bOUnce, a collection of sport fiction.

 

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Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers 2018 Week 5 NFL Betting Preview for Sunday, October 7.

Written by Winning National Football League Point Spread Expert Al Presto.

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The (1-3) SU/ATS Atlanta Falcons lost a heartbreaker 37-36 SU as a 3 and a half Point ATS Favorite to the Cincinnati Bengals. And now they’ve got a chance at another AL North team on the road. Atlanta let a five-point lead slip away as Andy Dalton led the Bengals down the field with 4:15 left in regulation connecting with AJ Green for the winning touchdown.

Atlanta is 0-6 ATS their last six in October and 0-6 to the POINT SPREAD after giving up 250 or more yards passing their previous week; they allowed 308 to Cincinnati.

The OVER has come in the last four Falcons games this season. However, the UNDER is 5-0 their last five on the road.

The teams have played twice since 2018 with both games staying UNDER the total.
The (1-2-1) SU, 1-4 ATS Pittsburgh Steelers lost to AFC North rivals Baltimore 26-14 SU as a three-point home favorite ATS in their last game. Pittsburgh continued to struggle on both sides of the ball. Fans in the Steel City were delighted that pro bowl running back Le’Veon Bell decided to end his holdout but won’t be available until week seven. Pittsburgh is in need of a win, they’ve already beaten Tampy Bay of the NFC South as the two divisions go head to head in 2018.

Pittsburgh is 0-7 ATS their last seven at their home venue and 0-3-1 ATS their last four a home vs. Teams with a losing record.

The OVER has cashed in for the betting public Pittsburgh’s last five after giving up more than 350 total yards in the previous game.

The OVER is 3-1 the Steelers last four at home dating back to last season including postseason action.

Kickoff will be Sunday, October 7, 2018. Game time is at 1:00 PM EST at Heinz Field where the Three rivers connect in downtown Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The FOX Television Network will be broadcasting.

The Betting Line has Atlanta as a three-point road underdog against the point spread. The total is fifty-eight points for Sunday’s contest.

Atlanta Falcons head coach Dan Quinn has handed the keys to a well-oiled offense to Steve Sarkisian who has the unit performing at an elite level. All-Pro quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown for 1,316 yards completing 99 of 145 pass attempts. The seventh-ranked Falcons offense have run 251 plays averaging 410.8yards per contest. Running Back, Devonta Freeman expects to be in the lineup after missing the first four games with a knee injury. The Falcons have scored 116 points through four weeks which ranks 15th in the league while the 6.5 yards per play by the unit is fifth in the National Football League.

Atlanta has allowed a total of 1,612 total yards to opposing offenses through four games. Second-year defensive coordinator Marquand Manuel knows he’ll be facing a high performing offense who’s hungry for a home win. Opponents have scored 122 points against a defense that could be without pass rushers, Grady Jarrett and Vic Beasley. They’ve already lost linebacker Deion Jones until week 10 and safety Keanu Neal out for the season knee with a torn ACL.

The Falcons defense play good on the road with Sarkisian trying to establish a running game.

Bovada.Lv, list the Atlanta Falcons at 6/1 to win the 2018-19 NFC South Division.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have the sixth-ranked offense in Football, but they score 25 ppg while the Falcons offense goes for 29. As good as Pittsburgh is on offense they were shut down in the second half last week vs. Baltimore. The Steelers ground game could on produce 19 yards on 11 carries for the entire four quarters. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw for 265 yards in defeat. The Steelers offense has run 276 plays this year for 1,644 yards, 3rd league-wide in total offense. Without Bell, in the lineup, they’re gaining just 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground. This unit averages 6-yards per play which ranks sixth in the NFL.

The once proud tradition of Steelers defenses no longer exists; they gave up 439 total yards to Baltimore of which 363 were through the air. However, they did get a couple of sacks, force a fumble while allowing the Ravens to convert one of five red-zone attempts. Pittsburgh still misses linebacker Ryan Shazier who went down with a severe spine injury last year in Cincinnati.

A key to a Steelers wins for cornerback Artie Burns to step up along with free agent Morgan Burnett.

They’ll get pressure on Ryan.

Bovada.Lv, list the Pittsburgh Steelers at 5/2 to win the 2018-19 AFC North title.

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Free Pick. Atlanta+3. Also Play Online Poker Plus Other Casino Games and enter some of the best  Tournaments on the World Wide Web.

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