Written by College Football Point Spread Analyst Greg Nelson.
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After losing their first two football games in 2018 both away from Chapel Hill the (1-2) SU (1-1-1) ATS, North Carolina Tar Heels beat Pittsburgh in a high scoring affair last Saturday 38-35.
The OVER is 3-2 the Tar Heels last five on the road, but the UNDER is 5-1 the previous six vs. Miami.
North Carolina is also 4-0 ATS both against ACC opponents and teams’ with a winning record.
The (3-1) SU, (2-2) ATS Miami Hurricanes began the season with a loss as a loss at a neutral site to LSU as a 3-point ATS favorite.
The OVER has cashed in three of the four times for total BETTORS when the Hurricanes take the field.
The UNDER is 8-1 their last nine vs. The Atlantic Coast Conference as well as the previous four against North Carolina at their Miami Gardens venue.
Thursday’s game is at 8:00 PM EST at Hard Rock Stadium also home of the NFL Dolphins in Miami Gardens, Florida. The ESPN Television Network will be broadcasting.
The Opening Betting Line has Miami as a seventeen and a half-point home favorite against the point spread. The betting odds total is fifty-seven and a half points for Thursday’s contest.
It’s been four seasons since Tar Heels head coach Larry Fedora took his team to the ACC title game after winning the Coastal division and after their 2017, 3-9 campaign whisper began around campus.
The Tar Heels anemic rushing attack ranks 102nd in the FBS with 498 yards; they average 4.8 yards per attempt on the ground.
Fedora is looking to sustain drive they way LSU did against Miami in the opener but for it to happen quarterback Nathan Elliott (669) yards through the air must complete passes keeping the Miami defense honest. Elliot was named the starter after sophomore Chazz Surratt was suspended the first four games of the season.
The Tar Heels defense is giving up an average of 25-ppg, and their 1,191 total yards by opposing offenses is 33rd in the FBS.
The UNC pass defense ranks 16th overall in College Football surrendering 583 yards through the air. North Carolina could be facing a new Miami starting quarterback which the coaching staff must prepare.
The UNDER is 8-1 North Carolina last nine on Thursday’s.
Bovada.Lv list the North Carolina Tar Heels at +2,250 to win the 2018 ACC, Coastal division title.
Freshman quarterback N’Kosi Perry has appeared in three of their four Hurricanes contests this season, and head coach Mark Richt is thinking about making him he Ocala, Florida product the full-time starter.
Perry threw for 224-yards completing 17/25 with three touchdowns with an interception in a 31-17 win over Dade County rival FIU of Conference-USA. Wide Receiver Ahmmon Richards (knee) hasn’t played since the opener.
Miami hasn’t lost at home as a 14-point ATS favorite or better since 2005; they’re 17′ Tonight.
The home team is 5-1 ATS the previous six times the teams have played.
The Hurricanes offense has produced 174 points, but 77 were against FCS opponent Savannah State. Miami ranks 48th in total yards on offense with 1,797 with 838 coming on the ground.
The defense has surrendered 895 total yards which rank fifth in the nation. They allow opponents 3.9 yards per play, 4th in Division 1.
Safety Jaquan Johnson missed last weeks and is questionable Thursday.
The key for a Miami win is to dominate the line of scrimmage on offense and defense.
Bovada.Lv, list the Miami Hurricanes at +500 to win the 2018 ACC Championship.
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