Written by NCAA Football Point Spread Expert Analyst Charlie Red McDougall.
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The (9-3) SU, (8-4) ATS Alabama-Birmingham Blazers are on a two-game losing streak after last Saturday’s 27-3 loss to Middle Tennessee as 3 point road FAVORITES ATS.
UAB couldn’t do anything right last week in what would be a preview of the Conference-USA title game. The Blazers got off to an early 3-0 lead, that was it as they were held to 89 total yards with -1 on the ground.
- The Underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five between the teams.
- UNDER bettors have made a profit 4 of UAB last five overall.
- Alabama Birmingham is 7-1-1 ATS their last nine following an SU defeat.
- The UNDER is 5-0 UAB last five after an SU loss.
The (8-4) SU/ATS Middle Tennessee Raiders got into the Conference-USA title game by default as Marshall took down Florida International in Dade County last week. Stores in the Murfreesboro, Tennessee area are selling shirts at a high rate. The entire region seems to be embracing the game like it’s the most significant event to hit the area in quite a while.
- Middle Tennessee has covered the POINT SPREAD their last five games.
- The home team is 4-0 ATS the last four between the teams.
- The Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS their last four vs. C-USA opponents.
- OVER bettors have profited Middle Tennessee last four overall.
Saturday’s game is at 1:30 PM EST at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. The CBSS Television Network will be broadcasting.
The Opening Betting Line has Middle Tennessee as 1 point ROAD FAVORITES ATS. The TOTAL is 44 Points for Saturday’s contest.
After losing last week to Middle Tennessee,UAB finds themselves favored again this week as the line began with UAB+3 points, now they’re one-point FAVORITES. The Blazers football program seems to embrace uncertainty, after all, they went on a 2-year hiatus from football after 2015. Head Coach Bill Clark led UAB to a bowl appearance in 2017. Now they’re West Division Champions.
Running Back Spencer Brown (996) rushing yards missed last weeks game after an injury at Texas A&M on November 17th; he’s questionable Saturday. Alabama Birmingham averages (403.0) total yards of offense which ranks 65th in the FBS. Part of the problem for the Blazers woes on offense is they haven’t decided on a starting quarterback. AJ Erdely (1,539) passing yards along with Tyler Johnston (810) yards through the air split time; both signal callers have thrown seven interceptions apiece.
First-year Defensive coordinator David Reeves is in charge of a unit that allows (288.0) yards per game, 9th in the nation while allowing opponents an average of (16.7) ppg. The run defense gives up (207.0) ypg on the ground which ranks 30th in College Football.
UAB could use Brown on offense, but it won’t matter if the quarterback doesn’t take care of the football.
Bovada.Lv, list the UAB Blazers at 7′ total wins for 2018-19.
Rick Stockstill is a fixture among Conference-USA coaches, and after Lane Kiffin brought his offensive schemes to Florida Atlantic, he decided to make defense a priority. He trusts his offense with son Brent who’s been the starting quarterback since he walked on campus as a freshman. The All Conference performer will get a look at the next level. Middle Tennessee hasn’t won an outright Conference Championship since 1992. They were Sun Belt co-champions in 2006. The atmosphere around campus rivals the SEC in anticipation for Saturday’s rematch.
The Blue Raiders offense ranks 81st in the FBS with (4,594) total yards, and Stockstill has thrown for (2,852) yards through the air. Wideout Ty Lee 65 receptions for (806) yards is the primary weapon for an offense that averages (246.5) yards per contest, 50th in College Football.
Linebackers Khalil Brooks along with DQ Thomas lead a Middle Tennessee defense that’s 52nd in the FBS allowing (374.0) yards per game along with (25.2) ppg. They’re vulnerable against the run giving up (136.3) ypg on the ground, 104th in the NCAA Football landscape.
Middle Tennessee stacked the box and forced the UAB quarterbacks to beat them throwing the Football which must happen again in the Championship game.
Bovada.Lv, list the 2018-19 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Over/Under seven wins.
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