Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots. NFL Playoff (AFC Divisional Round) Betting Preview for Sunday, January 13, 2019.

Written by National Football League Point Spread Analyst Greg Nelson.

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The (13-4) SU, (10-7) ATS San Diego Chargers advanced with a 23-17 wildcard round victory over Baltimore as 2′ point ROAD UNDERDOGS ATS. Los Angeles continued their winning ways last Sunday, and they’ll be flying about three states North of Maryland this times, but it’s still a 10:00 AM PST start. The Chargers were benefices of four Michael Badgley field goals to take a 12-0 lead into the half before letting the Ravens back into the contest late.

  • Los Angeles is 9-1 ATS their previous ten on the road.
  • The Chargers are 0-4 AGAINST THE POINT SPREAD the last four between the teams.
  • The UNDER has cashed in Los Angeles last four playoff games.
  • UNDER bettors have made profits 5 of the last six times the teams have played.

The (11-5) SU, (9-7) ATS New England Patriots last played on December 30, 2018, taking down the New York Jets as 14′ point home FAVORITES ATS. As a result, the Patriots earned a first-round bye. Everyone knows how prolific New England is around this time of year and the BETTING public believes the Chargers a great play ATS. New England hasn’t lost a home game since October 2017.

  • New England is 3-1 ATS their last four at home.
  • The favorite is 4-1 AGAINST THE SPREAD the last five times the teams have played.
  • The UNDER is 4-0 New England last four at home.
  • OVER bettors have made profits in 8 of the Patriots last nine divisional playoff games.

Kickoff will be Sunday, January 13, 2019. Game time is at 1:05 PM EST at the Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The CBS Television Network will be broadcasting. The Betting Line has New England at 4 point home FAVORITES AGAINST THE POINT SPREAD. The TOTAL is 47 points for Sunday’s contest.

Los Angeles Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn watched his team give up two fourth-quarter touchdowns to a rookie quarterback last Sunday in Baltimore. It was the second time in three week’s they would face Raven’s signal caller Lamar Jackson.

Film study was instrumental in holding the rookie in check most of the game after a 22-10 loss to the same team on December 22nd. However, they know it’ll be a different outcome by allowing Brady equal opportunity. The Goat has gotten the best of the Chargers the last two meeting in the postseason including a 21-12 AFC Championship game loss in 2008. Phillip Rivers is undoubtedly a Hall of Famer and like he said after Sunday win Why not us which is an attitude of confidence.

Running Back Melvin Gordon has been in a walking cast due to a minor knee injury suffered in Baltimore. On the other side of the Football, the Chargers are much better than their 22nd NFL ranking. Pass Rushers Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa can take over a game anytime their own the field. Defensive coordinator Gus Bradley understands his unit must improve covering out of the backfield. They allowed opponents (973) yards.

Safety Derwin James will be asked to cover a lot of ground both against the run and pass; the former Florida State product is already a star and will be the X-Factor Sunday.

Bovada.Lv, list the Los Angeles Chargers at +1,800 to win the 2019 NFL Title.

 

Bill Belichick remembers the taste of defeat last year in Minneapolis as the Philadelphia Eagles took the Lombardi Trophy home. The quest is on to reclaim what fans in the Northeast believe is theirs. Snow is in the forecast Sunday which the Patriots welcome but also understand how much talent Los Angeles has on their roster.

New England is (12-2) SU in the postseason with weather condition below 32 degrees. The high powered Patriots offense will get tested by a defense that is better on the field than on paper, and the coaching staff knows this as a fact. They’ll have to dink and dunk to running back Sony Michel, James White, and Rex Burkhead. New England is a team that can never be counted out, especially in January and February.

Belichick is friends with University of Alabama head coach Nick Saban who’s Crimson Tide got destroyed in the 2019 BCS title game. This Sports Handicapper believes the long-standing dynasty in New England is on shaky ground.

The organization will pay down the road for trading backup quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo to San Francisco; Sunday’s game will be the most anticipated as the Los Angeles Chargers have an excellent shot at dethroning the reigning AFC Champions.

Bovada.Lv, list the New England Patriots at +650 to win the 2019 Superbowl.

2019 NFL Playoff Point Spread Predictions

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Chargers and Chiefs catch the eye in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season

Chargers and Chiefs catch the eye in Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season

The NFL waits for no one. That’s why, to my thinking, the Kansas City Chiefs’ visit to the cozy StubHub Centre to take on division rival San Diego [still doing it] Los Angeles Chargers is the must-see game in the 2018 season’s opening week.

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The Chiefs won the AFC West and went to the playoffs in 2017. They lost a nailbiter to the Tennessee Titans in the wildcard. Fair or not, the defeat was the final nail in quarterback Alex Smith’s Arrowhead career coffin. The ex-49er completed 29/33 passes for 264 yards and two touchdowns against the Titans, but his immobility hurt the team. He was sacked four times. His strength is the short-passing game, too. Kansas City couldn’t stretch the field in the second half.

On the other side of the ball, Marcus Mariota’s agility paid dividends. Rolling to his left, the Titan’s third-year signal-caller caught his own deflected pass then ran it in for a morale-crushing score. It’s little wonder the Chiefs traded Smith to the Washington Redskins and shoved all their chips in on sophomore QB Pat Mahomes’ bionic arm.

The Chargers finished second in the division but their 9-7 record didn’t rate a playoff berth. It’s a new season, however. Observers are lavishing crazy love on the Bolts in the early doors. CBS Sports rates Anthony Lynn’s squad far better than the Chiefs on both sides of the ball. Charlie Red, the man whose name graces the masthead at the top of this page, expects the Chargers “to do big things.

Phillip Rivers and the LA Chargers are trending up ahead of the 2018 NFL season.

Phillip Rivers and the LA Chargers are trending up ahead of the 2018 NFL season.

Phillip Rivers remains the man behind center. After missing out by three measly yards in 2016, Mel Gordon’s now officially a thousand-yard rusher after racking up 1,105 and eight TDs in 2017. He also contributed 476 receiving yards with another four scores for good measure. Gordon’s presence relieves pressure for the veteran QB who’s thrown for at least 4,000 yards in every season [excepting 2012] since 2008. His 26 touchdowns in the off-year were his worst over the same stretch, as well. When the Chargers’ ground game lags, though, the NC State alum’s interception rate goes through the roof.

Rivers must be licking his chops at the news that Chiefs strong safety Eric Berry’s doubtful with a heel injury for this game. Brandon Mebane and Isaac Rochel on the left side of the Chargers D-line have to be looking forward to testing Chiefs right guard Laurent Duvarney-Tardif, fresh from concussion protocol. Meanwhile, the Chiefs can exploit defensive end Joey Bosa’s absence.

Andy Reid’s a far more experienced coach than Anthony Lynn, which must count for something. Still, the younger man can rely on veteran coordinators Ken Whisenhunt and Gus Bradley, both former head coaches in the league. Reid has a seasoned defensive coordinator in Bob Sutton but is taking a gamble on Eric Bieniemy. The former University of Colorado star brings extensive experience as a running backs coach both with the Chiefs and Buffaloes, but just two seasons directing the entire offense in Boulder. A new quarterback and an untested coordinator don’t bode well for KC to start the campaign. Bieniemy at least has a 1,300-yd Pro Bowl rusher to take some pressure off the passing game.

Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy may ask who needs to throw the ball if the Chargers can't stop your Pro Bowl running back?

Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy may ask who needs to throw the ball if the Chargers can’t stop your Pro Bowl running back?

In 2017, the new Angelinos weren’t able to exploit their compact surroundings. After a season to acclimate and an off-season to improve, maybe they can surprise opponents with an outsized game. They’ll be getting after the Chiefs today, that much is certain. But Kansas City’s out to prove they don’t deserve to be written off so easily.

Enjoy.

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Martin Palazzotto is a freelance writer and author of strange bOUnce, a collection of sport fiction.